Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 4.037771 4.784757 5.661706 6.775271 8.163024 9.850453 12.080479
2024-12-15 3.049183 3.997295 5.257888 7.091815 9.752027 13.568444 19.644801
2024-12-22 2.431383 3.387816 4.760663 6.939147 10.434732 16.060528 26.329089
2024-12-29 2.061341 3.012450 4.463023 6.933326 11.246648 18.915115 34.751702
2025-01-05 1.772837 2.691743 4.163801 6.821655 11.807270 21.476037 43.811268
2025-01-12 1.599707 2.516139 4.053095 6.986702 12.886356 25.364834 57.737662
2025-01-19 1.413449 2.286228 3.804574 6.836475 13.295860 28.003186 70.259764
2025-01-26 1.345088 2.245553 3.878856 7.315375 15.152980 34.664694 98.401035
2025-02-02 1.265411 2.171354 3.875783 7.632753 16.747959 41.410005 132.659645
2025-02-09 1.201366 2.115799 3.897317 8.005317 18.600076 49.788403 181.406857
2025-02-16 1.122169 2.020001 3.821602 8.139698 19.886298 57.176206 235.054107
2025-02-23 1.056921 1.942823 3.771842 8.324318 21.381580 66.135660 309.140126
2025-03-02 0.969092 1.822774 3.641559 8.363772 22.748574 76.669557 419.626954
2025-03-09 0.912120 1.762004 3.640556 8.768759 25.573540 96.026163 648.569882
2025-03-16 0.826124 1.625864 3.439871 8.571971 26.305476 107.148666 855.858936
2025-03-23 0.762435 1.529488 3.316455 8.564458 27.750411 123.596249 1199.007576
2025-03-30 0.699919 1.427215 3.160920 8.420542 28.631367 138.340219 1618.627015
2025-04-06 0.661475 1.374942 3.122406 8.633290 31.130323 166.599986 2503.969706
2025-04-13 0.609744 1.284878 2.970913 8.439634 31.782301 183.839658 3385.387142
2025-04-20 0.595254 1.281995 3.051301 9.057739 36.654316 242.217990 6502.043075
2025-04-27 0.573375 1.258024 3.069705 9.468567 40.854325 305.460819 12082.542215
2025-05-04 0.555017 1.240425 3.103226 9.951999 45.892681 392.020506 24758.941216
2025-05-11 0.528595 1.198818 3.059647 10.126672 49.334946 472.414653 46868.526663